In the pros it’s hard. Free agency; salary cap; draft; small roster. It comes down to can the HC coach the QB. But in college it’s easier to pick the good teams barring injured QB. Granted; lots more teams. I’ve picked the Title winner pre season correctly about 75% time over last 14 yrs. in addition; in 11 of last 12, the winner came from my top 4. Here’s what I look at. How many experienced high talent returners. How many inexperienced players will be forced to play. Whose the HC. How much of staff returned. Schedule. Depth in case of injury & for rotation. Last year I picked LSU. Lots of experienced talent. I did same with Clemson in a recent year. The two teams just had all the pieces in place. I expected LSU to crap their pants this year. All that talent gone. It’s an emotion not discipline program. They spend their off time in bars & clubs. But they will be much better next year. Some teams try to do a cycle. They will seem to have a new O & D line all in one yr. painful yr. then they improve the next yr. Then in year 3 or 4 they may have an amazing year. Then the cycle starts again. Good strategy if trying to beat larger programs & have much better season every 3-4 yrs. A lot of people try to pick whomever is hottest program every year. That’s Alabama last 10 yrs. Over time it’s been Miami; or whomever. But I didn’t pick them last year because of their QB. He was best in nation. But small; injury prone, & had a fatal flaw. It worked for him late in first big game. He tried to hold onto ball till last second. Took the awkward hits as he won. Tried for TD every throw. Got him injured over & over. Reminded me of old Titan QB. He needs to stop that at Dolphins or he will stay hurt. So you see; being the best doesn’t mean you win title. QB injuries & playing in Uber tough sec can derail you. But sec teams win so many titles you have to study that conference closely. Clemson was my pick this year. Why? Second best HC. Best QB. Very easy schedule. Only challenger is less talented Irish. Very experienced staff who have been together forever; & never have turn over. They are smart; hire old coaches & over pay them. No one wants to pay enough to lure away an old dude who doesn’t want to recruit massive hours. Clemson has most talent in ACC. Lots of returning talent. Like LSU last year, they have no weakness. I expect them in playoffs. They have best chance to win Title. Ohio State was my pre season number two. Second best QB. Lots of experience returning. Much more talent than rest of conference. HC now experienced; plus he & most of staff have been there long time. Easy schedule. I fully expect them in playoffs. I do not expect them to win Title. The Title winner will most likely be Clemson or an sec team. Who fills other two spots? I saw no solid Big 12 team. I actually wrote down that Ok St would win the conference; then laughed at myself. Hey; I might be right. But does Big 12 champ make playoffs? PAC 12. None are good enough or play enough games to get in IMO. That said Oregon has by far best talent & HC. They have a baby tailored schedule. They could easily go 7-0. Hey; Iowa State; Notre Dame; and Tennessee could go undefeated with that schedule. I could see morons putting Oregon in the playoffs just to gift the PAC. SEC. That’s a hard pick. Georgia’s closest to a complete team. But all their QBs look like backups. Alabama. I didn’t expect their QB to be that good. He looks like a 1-2 round NFL pick so far. They had 4 great WRs last yr. I expected 2 this yr. it’s 3. But they have a green secondary. Last year their experienced secondary looked bad. I also question their DC. They are not a complete team. That said; if Georgia can’t resolve QB position, then Alabama has next best chance to win conference. If make playoffs only Clemson would be better. Florida. Close; but not this year. I expected huge step back for LSU. All that experience left. Texas A&M. Jimbos style has only had one great year: rapist Winston. There’s dark horses I felt might reach playoffs: Irish; Penn St; Michigan; Oklahoma; Texas; Oregon; Washington; Oklahoma St; Florida. Some of those still could.